President Nicolas Maduro insists Venezuela will never default on its debt but ratings agency Standard and Poors says the country is in "selective default"
Caracas (AFP) - Venezuela and the jewel of its petroleum-dependent economy, state oil company PDVSA, were declared in partial default by ratings agencies Tuesday, but the government insisted it was in the process of paying up.
Standard & Poor’s declared Venezuela in “selective default” after it failed to make $200 million in payments on two global bond issues by the end of a 30-day grace period on November 12.
Fitch, meanwhile, placed PDVSA in selective default for a week’s delay in the payment of two bonds totalling some $2 billion, which matured November 2 and October 27.
And Fitch downgraded cash-strapped Caracas itself to “restricted default” late Tuesday over its failure to make overdue payments on its sovereign bonds.
“Fitch Ratings has downgraded Venezuela’s Long-Term Foreign Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to ‘RD’ (Restricted Default) from ‘C’ and affirmed the Long-Term Local Currency IDR at ‘CC’,” the ratings agency said in a statement said.
Communications Minister Jorge Rodriguez said Venezuela was already catching up on the payments.
“Today, we have begun interest payments on Venezuela’s foreign debt and last week, PDVSA made its debt interest payments,” he said on state television.
“We pay our debts, despite what the ratings agencies, the US Treasury, the European Union or (US President) Donald Trump say.”
A committee of 15 financial firms meeting in New York meanwhile put off a decision for a third straight day on whether to declare a “Failure to Pay Credit Event” at PDVSA.
They will reconvene Thursday to determine whether holders of PDVSA debt with default insurance – credit default swaps – can collect payment.
PDVSA is vulnerable to creditors potentially moving to seize crude shipments or refinery assets abroad, particularly from its US subsidiary Citgo.
If a selective default spreads to other bond issues, particularly the nation’s $150 billion sovereign debt, the South American country would likely be declared in full default.
A full default – recognition that Venezuela is unable to repay its massive debt – would have enormous consequences for the country, whose population is already suffering severe food and medicine shortages because of a lack of money to import them.
China, meanwhile, said its massive financing of Venezuela was “proceeding normally,” and Russia was expected to sign an agreement as early as Wednesday to restructure $3 billion of Venezuelan debt, according to sources in Moscow familiar with the matter.
Beijing and Moscow have emerged as Venezuela’s most reliable sources of funding, with China owed $28 billion and Russia $8 billion.
Caracas has less than $10 billion left in hard currency reserves, but must make $1.4 billion in debt payments before year’s end, and another $8 billion next year.
- ‘New category of risk’ -
For now, Venezuela appears to have bought a little more time.
“Ultimately, it seems like bondholders are waiting and giving them some time… The incentives are for the bondholders to wait and see if they are going to be paid,” said analyst Risa Grais-Targow of the Eurasia Group consultancy.
But, she told AFP, “the rating agency defaults open up a new category of risk.”
“There may be some investors that may be forced to sell because of that, because they are not allowed to hold debt at a certain category of risk,” Grais-Targow added.
President Nicolas Maduro has formed a commission to restructure Venezuela’s sovereign debt and PDVSA’s.
Venezuela's state-owned oil company PDVSA is at the center of the country's debt woes
But participants in a first meeting in Caracas on Monday said officials had given no concrete details on its plans.
About 70 percent of Venezuelan bondholders are North American, according to government figures.
Vice President Tareck El Aissami blamed US sanctions for delays to Venezuela’s debt repayments.
Restrictions include a ban on US entities buying any new Venezuela debt issues – usually a required step in restructuring.
The United States has designated El Aissami himself a drug kingpin whom US entities are barred from dealing with.
Adding to the pressure on Maduro, the European Union also announced sanctions.
- ‘Violent narco-state’ -
The rating agencies all forecast a Venezuelan default as inevitable, but differ on when it might occur
A default can be declared by the major ratings agencies, big debtholders or the government itself.
Maduro is also under fire internationally for marginalizing the opposition, which controls the legislature, and stifling independent media.
The US called an informal meeting of the UN Security Council, where US Ambassador Nikki Haley slammed Venezuela as an “increasingly violent narco-state” that poses a threat to world security.
Permanent council members Russia and China boycotted the talks.
Venezuela’s envoy to the UN, Rafael Ramirez, called the meeting a “hostile” act of US “interference.”